Can Lewis Hamilton win F1 2017 world title at the USA Grand Prix

The last four races were a nightmare for Ferrari and Sebastian Vettel. It all started at Ferrari home grand prix at Italy where Vettel managed to finished in the podium but it was a 1-2 for the Mercedes drivers: 2017 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix Race Results.

The increasing pressure to win the title prompted two overaggressive Ferrari knocking each other out at the 2017 Singapore GP: Lewis Hamilton extends F1 championship lead at 2017 Singapore GP basically Kimi Raikkonen and Vettel sandwiched Max Verstappen before the first corner of the race.

2017 Malaysia was not better for Ferrari and Vettel, as Red Bull (Max Verstappen) managed to win the race and Daniel Ricciardo finished third. Lewis Hamilton finished 2nd but Vettel only managed 4th: 2017 Formula 1 Malaysian Grand Prix Race Results.

And finally the "Faulty spark plug" issue at Suzuka that cause Vettel to retire from the race. Mercedes Lewis Hamilton won the race, with the two resurgent Red Bulls taking 2nd and 3rd: 2017 Formula 1 Japanese Grand Prix Race Results.

What worries Ferrari is the fact that the Red Bulls can challenge them for wins and podiums. This plays very well to Mercedes, as Lewis Hamilton leads the 2017 Formula One Championship by 59 points. As long as the Red Bulls can finish in the podium, that means less points for grab for Ferrari and Vettel.

Lewis-Hamilton-vs-Sebastian-Vette-2017-USA-GP

Can Lewis Hamilton win F1 2017 title at the USA Grand Prix?
If Hamilton manages to win the 2017 USA Grand Prix that gives +25 points to his title chances. The difference to Vettel then skyrocket to 84 points, unless:

If Vettel finishes second +18 points, reduces the gap to 66 points.
If Vettel finishes third +15 points, reduces the gap to 69 points.
If Vettel finishes fourth +12 points, reduces the gap to 72 points.
If Vettel finishes fifth +10 points, reduces the gap to 74 points.

After the 2017 USA GP, there are 3 more races to go (Mexico, Brazil, Abu Dhabi): that is 75 points for grab for the winner. Lewis Hamilton can clinch the 2017 F1 title by winning the Austin race if Vettel finishes sixth or lower. Even if Vettel manages to win the last 3 races, Hamilton will keep his 2017 title!

BTW: Lewis Hamilton has won the Austin USA Grand Prix in the last 3 years (2016, 2015, 2014). Sebastian Vettel won in 2013, but Lewis Hamilton also won in 2012.

2017 F1 Championship

DriverTeamPoints
HamiltonMercedes AMG Petronas F1306
VettelScuderia Ferrari247
BottasMercedes AMG Petronas F1234
RicciardoRed Bull Racing192
RaikkonenScuderia Ferrari148
VerstappenRed Bull Racing111
Go to 2017 Full F1 Standings

And what do you think? We shall see how the racing goes at the 2017 USA Grand Prix!

Posted on October 18, 2017

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